Forecast for
located in or near

Precipitation Forecast for
Target Date Issue Date


Probability of Exceedance

Probability Distribution

image

Forecast Verification

Seasonal Rainfall Forecast

This Maproom shows seasonal rainfall forecast.

The default map shows, for the latest forecast made, the more likely rainfall amount (in mm) in the season. Users can use the Precipitation Forecast menu to express the forecast in different ways, as follows:

The Layers button, showing when mousing over the map, will reveal in/active layers on the map. The Skill map is inactive by default and can be activated here, to be overlaid over the forecast map.

Clicking on the map will reveal information about the location clicked, as well as the full forecast distribution at that given location, compared with the historical distribution. Cumulative full distribution of the forecast (red) together with the climatological distribution (blue and black) for the forecast in view on the map shows underProbability of Exceedance, as well as the full probability distribution underProbability Distribution. If the Skill Layer is activated, a 3rd graph will show to present the comparison of hindcast performance versus actually observed seasonal rainfall.

Dataset Documentation

All analyses are derived from ANACIM NextGen seasonal forecast.

Forecast result from the calibration of an ensemble of dynamical models from the NMME et Copernicus suites, calibrated against ANACIM ENACTS observational data.

Instructions

Helpdesk

Contact anacim@anacim.sn with any technical questions or problems with this Map Room.